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The Army Black Knights (103) Vs. The Navy Midshipmen (104)

Army finally converted last season after losing 14 straight. This was partially due to personnel, but also to coaching. The Knights were justifying loyal to their prior staff, but their game plans were always the same, and they never passed the ball. Newer coach, Jeff Monken has taken a losing program to 8-3 this year. They did have a weaker strength of sched...

 

New Orleans Saints (101) at Atlanta Falcons (102)

If you're not from Atlanta, and I asked you who had the better chance to make it to the Super Bowl, most of you would probably choose New Orleans. Almost all games are important this time of year for either making the playoffs or getting some home field advantage. To keep it simple: 1) All of Atlanta's offensive numbers are down considerably from last year. Much of their pe...

 

NFL Odds: New Coach for Giants With Cowboys in Town

by Bovada - 12/5/2017 3:39 PM

The New York Giants (2-10 SU, 5-7 ATS) have fired head coach Ben McAdoo - and GM Jerry Reese, too. But will it help them beat the visiting Dallas Cowboys (6-6 SU and ATS) this Sunday? New York can help spoil the Cowboys' playoff chances with a win; kick-off is at 1 PM ET on FOX, and the NFL lines are locked at press time with Dallas laying six points. Defensive coordinator Steve...

 

NBA Odds: Thunder Aim to Get on Track Against Jazz

by Bovada - 12/4/2017 4:07 PM

The struggles of the Oklahoma City Thunder have been one of the biggest storylines in the NBA this season. On Tuesday, they'll host the Utah Jazz as they try to put something together. The Jazz play Monday night at home against the Washington Wizards. Going into that game, Utah had won five in a row, averaging 115.4 points per game. This surge in production has boosted them to 2...

 

The Stanford Cardinal (303) Vs The USC Trojans (304)

(1 of 7 selections for this weekend from John Rothschild/Safestwagering.) The public is favoring USC for two main reasons: 1) USC may be playing the top quarterback in next year's draft, Sam Darnold, who may also win the Heisman. 2) USC beat Stanford 42 to 24 in their 2nd game of the season. Both factors above will always inflate a line towards the one side. You c...

 

The Washington Redskins (301) at The Dallas Cowboys (302)

Notes: The advantage of looking at early lines. This game opened at Redskins +1.5, and that's when it was originally released. The line has moved, but I still think Redskins -1.5 is viable. The Washington Redskins (301) at The Dallas Cowboys (302) (1 of 8 games this week from: Safestwagering/John Rothschild) When I started working on this game, it seemed like Dallas might b...

 

NBA Odds: Heat Meet LeBron in Cleveland

by Bovada - 11/28/2017 10:40 AM

The Miami Heat (9-9 SU, 7-9-2 ATS) just haven't been the same since LeBron James went back to Cleveland. But they can gain a little revenge this Tuesday when they visit James and the Cavaliers (12-7 SU, 6-12-1 ATS), beginning at 7 PM ET on NBA-TV. The Heat are 7-4 SU and 6-5 ATS in this series since James returned to the Cavs in 2014. This is easily the worst the Cavaliers have look...

 

The Carolina Panthers (261) at The New York Jets (262)

1 of 8 games from safestwagering If you take a team at more than a field goal, you have to believe they can dominate their opponent. That may be the case. Jets fans think so. You can still get seats for $23 today. Carolina has been improving and are getting tight end Greg Olsen back from injury. They also should have center Ryan Kalil available today. Although still...

 

The New York Giants at The Washington Redskins Free Pick

1 of 8 selections from safestwagering.net The Giants can't score, have lost their top 2 receivers, and are going with their 8th offensive line combination. Last year's good defense, isn't. So is it actually possible for New York to cover? I think so. As mundane as this may sound, it depends on whom you're playing against. The Redskins have decent skill position players a...

 

Cowboys Host Chargers on Turkey Day

by Bovada - 11/21/2017 5:19 PM

The Dallas Cowboys (5-5 SU and ATS) will resume their traditional role as Thanksgiving Day hosts when they welcome the Los Angeles Chargers (4-6 SU, 5-4-1 ATS) to Arlington this Thursday, kicking off at 4:30 PM ET on CBS. The game opened as a pick ‘em with a total of 48 points. Dallas has lost back-to-back games SU and ATS in ugly fashion since RB Ezekiel Elliott began serving h...

 

Enigmatic Warriors in Oklahoma City

by Bovada - 11/21/2017 11:54 AM

One month into the regular season, and the Golden State Warriors (13-4 SU, 7-10 ATS) are playing at an even higher level than last year's championship team. But the Warriors haven't been consistent with their greatness. They ride a 0-4 ATS losing streak against the NBA lines into Wednesday's marquee matchup with the Oklahoma City Thunder (7-8 SU and ATS), live on ESPN at 8 PM ET. Al...

 

Lakers Host Bulls on Tuesday

by Bovada - 11/21/2017 11:53 AM

The Los Angeles Lakers and the Chicago Bulls are storied NBA franchises, but both have fallen on hard times. The two will meet in Los Angeles on Tuesday at 10:30 PM ET in the lone NBA game on the schedule. The Bulls are 3-11 following a loss in Phoenix Sunday night. This season, they've struggled at both ends of the court, ranking 29 th in points per game, 13 th in poi...

 

The LSU Tigers at the Tennessee Volunteers Free Pick

1 of 7 games at safestwagering Tennessee recruits well, especially on offensive and defensive lines, but you wouldn't know it. They fired head coach Butch Jones and put Brady Hoke in his place. Maybe today will be different, but Brady Hoke, is a good example of "The Peter Principle". He had one good year at Ball State (2008), playing the weakest Strength of Schedule in...

 

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at The W. Kentucky Hilltoppers

This is 1 of 9 games released by safestwagering.net for this weekend. The Hilltoppers tried to mix things up last week by pulling their starting quarterback after an impressive opening drive. His replacement had played OK before, but confused the issue. Western Kentucky had a nice comeback against a strong Marshall team, but got flattened after throwing a Pick 6. They actuall...

 

NHL Odds: New Jersey Devils vs. Toronto Maple Leafs on Thursday

by Bovada - 11/15/2017 2:33 PM

The Toronto Maple Leafs (12-7 SU, 9-10 ATS) are waiting to hear if their star centre Auston Matthews will suit up Thursday when they host the surging New Jersey Devils. Matthews has been dealing with an upper body injury since November 6, but despite his absence, the Leafs have won all four games they've played without their leading scorer. Toronto will need all the offensive support they can...

 

Free Pick: The Western Michigan Broncos (309) at The N. Illinois Huskies (310)

On paper this game almost looks like it should be a pickem. 1) The Broncos beat Kent State by 28 in their last game. 2) Although the Huskies beat Ball State by 46 in their last contest, they lost to Toledo in their prior matchup, and then Toledo got crushed in their last game. What we see in one week, isn't often duplicated the next, which may be the case on Wednesda...

 

NHL Odds: Rangers-Hawks Renew Original Six Rivalry

by Bovada - 11/15/2017 1:48 PM

Hockey is always a little bit better when two of the NHL's Original Six take the ice. This Wednesday (8 PM ET, NBCSN), it'll be the Chicago Blackhawks hosting the New York Rangers, as both teams try to move up the standings after getting off to a slow start this year. The Rangers (9-7-2 after 18 games) have already turned things around with six straight wins; the Hawks (8-8-2) are stuck in neu...

 

The Miami Dolphins (275) at The Carolina Panthers (276)

NFL stats have Miami's defense as 2nd best in the league. Those lists are compiled by total yardage. Take out the bye week and they're defense is average. Dolphin's quarterback/announcer, Jay Cutler, will need a concerted effort from his offensive line this evening. That may be even more difficult after losing their starting right guard, Ja'Wuan James. He"ll be repla...

 

NBA Odds: Much-Improved Sixers Visit La-La Land

by Bovada - 11/13/2017 4:09 PM

The Process is working out marvelously for the Philadelphia 76ers (6-6 SU, 8-4 ATS). Their collection of high draft picks has turned into one of the most profitable teams in the NBA, and they'll be on national television this Wednesday when they visit the Los Angeles Lakers (5-8 SU, 6-7 ATS), tipping off at 10:30 PM ET on ESPN. After years of tanking, the Sixers have assem...

 

NBA Odds: Raptors Visit Rockets on Tuesday

by Bovada - 11/13/2017 4:08 PM

James Harden of the Houston Rockets has been playing like an MVP candidate all season. With an average of 30.2 points per game, he ranks third in the NBA in scoring. Tuesday night, Harden and the Rockets host the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors are 7-5 SU (6-6 ATS) after a disappointing loss to the Boston Celtics Sunday night. The Celtics were without PG Kyrie Irving, and yet Toron...

 

Soccer Odds: FIFA 2018 World Cup Qualifying

by Bovada - 11/10/2017 12:37 PM

The second round of 2018 World Cup qualifiers begins this Thursday for the UEFA conference, with eight teams fighting over the remaining four spots. The soccer world will be watching Friday's first leg (2:45 PM ET) between Sweden and Italy; at press time, Italy are +130 favorites at Friends Arena in Stockholm, with Sweden at +240 and the draw at +200. It would be classic Azz...

 

The Seattle Seahawks (111) at The Arizona Cardinals (112)

You're never sure which Seattle team will show up. Will it be the turnaround team that won four games in a row, or the one that was out-coached last week against Washington? They were 8 point favorites and lost by 3, while going against the most banged up offensive line in the NFL. The Seahawks leading rusher this season, isn't a running back. It's th...

 

NHL Odds: Chicago Blackhawks vs. Philadelphia Flyers on Thursday

by Bovada - 11/8/2017 4:07 PM

On Thursday, the Philadelphia Flyers (7-6-1-1 SU, 8-7 ATS) welcome the Chicago Blackhawks (7-6-2 SU, 7-8 ATS) to town. Both teams are in sixth-place in their respective divisions and have collected a meager 16 points through their first 15 games. Chicago has been a consistent bet this season, with 1.36 betting units against the puck line. But Chicago bettors took a hit last game...

 

NFL Odds: Patriots-Broncos at Mile High

by Bovada - 11/7/2017 4:29 PM

Two years ago, Brock Osweiler led the Denver Broncos to victory over the New England Patriots on Sunday Night Football, handing them their first loss and earning a big contract with the Houston Texans during the offseason. Now the circle is complete; Osweiler is back under center for the Broncos, and is going to start against New England this Sunday night (8:30 PM ET, NBC). ...

 

NBA Odds: Reeling Cavaliers Host Bucks

by Bovada - 11/7/2017 4:28 PM

The 2017-18 NBA season has not been kind to the Cleveland Cavaliers. Multiple injuries and a strange mix of personnel have LeBron James and the reigning Eastern Conference champions in a bind at 4-6 SU and 2-8 ATS. They'll try to break free this Tuesday when they host one of the rising forces in the East, the Milwaukee Bucks (4-5 SU, 3-5-1 ATS). Tip-off is at 7 p.m. Eastern on NBA-TV. ...

 

The Northern Illinois Huskies (309) at The Toledo Rockets (310)

The Rockets have scored 12.6 ppg more than The Huskies. The Huskies have allowed 7.5 ppg less than the Rockets. Add in a 3 point differential for home team advantage and you have a computer projection of a projected number of Toledo -8.1. That's pretty close to the present line. A few additional factors: 1) Toledo will be starting Logan Woodside at quarterback, who...

 

Verlander, Hill Square Off in World Series on Tuesday

by Bovada - 10/30/2017 3:55 PM

Tuesday night will be an elimination game in the World Series, as the Los Angeles Dodgers host the Houston Astros for Game 6. Justin Verlander (4-0, 2.05 ERA) took a no-decision in a 7-6 11-inning win for the Astros in Game 2. Over six innings, he allowed three runs on two hits, striking out five and walking two. So far this postseason, Verlander has given up seven runs over 3...

 

The Dallas Cowboys at The Washington Redskins

Dallas has been over-bet most of this season after winning 13 games in 2016(could have been 14), and then covering in 2 of their first 3 games. Last week they outclassed the 0-7 49ers, at one point leading 40-3. San Francisco may be one of the worst franchises in the league right now, but they were competitive in their prior 5 games. Their biggest loss was only 3 points. The...

 

The TCU Horned Frogs (193) at The Iowa State Cyclones (194)

The Cyclones were on my watch list of improving teams for this season. I didn't expect the improvement to be this dramatic, but they've recruited much better in recent years. TCU was one of my long shot future bets which originally was 100-1, and then dropped to 60-1. Obviously their chances are slim to beat Alabama, but as of today anyone would take the odds I received. Iow...

 

The Miami Dolphins at The Baltimore Ravens

The Dolphins are the NFL's poster child for, "what happened last week, probably won't happen the next." They lost to the Jets (20-6) in week #3, and then the Saints (20-0) in week #4. Now on Thursday, they're going for their improbable 4th win in a row. On Sunday, Matt Moore took over for an injured Jay Cutler. After throwing an interception in his first series, he guided Miami b...

 

Steelers-Lions on Sunday Night Football

by Bovada - 10/26/2017 9:14 AM

Are the Pittsburgh Steelers (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) the best team in the NFL? They've looked very good this year, but they've got a tough test coming up Sunday night when they visit the Detroit Lions (3-3 SU and ATS), who are coming off the bye week. Pittsburgh is a 3-point road favorite at press time with a total of 45.5; NBC has the coverage beginning at 8:30 PM ET. The Steelers have ex...

 

Dodgers Host Astros in Game 1 of World Series on Tuesday

by Bovada - 10/24/2017 11:20 AM

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the Houston Astros have been the best teams in baseball all season long. The two got through the playoffs and will now open up the World Series on Tuesday at 8:09 PM ET in Los Angeles. The Astros will send Dallas Keuchel (2-1, 2.60 ERA) to the mound. He lasted just 4.2 innings in his last start, which was a 5-0 road loss to the New York Yankees in Gam...

 

The Jacksonville Jaguars (453) at The Indianapolis Colts (454)

The Colts offense has shown a little ability lately with Brissett at QB, and better offensive line play. They surprisingly only gave up one sack in their last game. It's getting to be the time of the year where we sometimes have enough games to assimilate real (longer term) statistics into analysis. These statistics don't view the Colt's defense favorably. ...

 

The Louisiana Rajin" Cajuns at The Arkansas State Red Wolves

The Red Wolves have scored 94 points in their last two games against Georgia Southern and Coastal Carolina. You could argue that they may be the two worst teams in an FBS program. The Rajin Cajuns showed that they could score early in the year, still made a quarterback switch (Davis to Nunez) and continued to accumulate yardage. Their offense was tentative in their last two wins, while...

 

Packers to Start Hundley Versus Saints

by Bovada - 10/19/2017 10:30 AM

The Green Bay Packers (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS) just saw their Super Bowl LII odds take a tumble. QB Aaron Rodgers suffered a broken collarbone last week, so Brett Hundley will be under center this Sunday when Green Bay hosts the New Orleans Saints (3-2 SU and ATS), kicking off at 1 PM ET on FOX. The Packers are 6-point home dogs at press time, holding steady since the open. Heading into W...

 

Cubs Host Dodgers in NLCS Game 3

by Bovada - 10/16/2017 3:40 PM

The Los Angeles Dodgers got the National League Championship Series off to a rocking start, winning Game 1 at home against the Chicago Cubs on Saturday. On Tuesday, they'll take on the Cubs in Chicago for Game 3. The Dodgers will have Yu Darvish (1-0, 1,80 ERA) on the hill and last time he was on the mound, he clinched a sweep for the Dodgers in the NLDS on the road in Arizona. Dar...

 

The Chicago Bears at The Baltimore Ravens

Many like Baltimore because their defensive numbers are strong. But, their strength of schedule has been weak. They've played: Cleveland, no comment needed Pittsburgh, who has no rhythm right now Oakland, who doesn't score when their starting QB is injured Cincinnati, before they got a little better on offense The Ravens are tough at home, but they've never been the same team sin...

 

The Michigan State Spartans at The Minnesota Golden Gophers

As colloquial as this may sound, you have to listen when, "The line may be telling you something". I thought that Michigan State would open up at around -7. Instead it's been around -3.5 and hasn't moved much. Many of the games involving these teams have been decided by turnovers. The Spartans can cause them, but they lost to Notre Dame because they made them. Although not indi...

 

NFL Odds: Steelers Visit Undefeated Chiefs

by Bovada - 10/12/2017 11:11 AM

You know things are going wrong for the Pittsburgh Steelers (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) when their own fans start booing them. But after a humbling loss to Jacksonville, the Steelers will be on the road this Sunday to face the Kansas City Chiefs (5-0 SU and ATS), kicking off at 4:25 PM ET on CBS. The Chiefs are 5-point favorites on the NFL odds board at press time after opening at -4.5.The Steelers are st...

 

The Philadelphia Eagles at The Carolina Panthers

Things change. Just a few weeks ago there was talk of sitting Cam Newton, after Carolina just beat Buffalo (who seemingly had a purged roster), and then got crushed by New Orleans. Newton was the Panthers on Sunday, when they beat Detroit. They're now playing with some confidence. Is it enough to cover 3.5 points against the Eagles. I don't think so. Philadelphia...

 

NFL Observations

Notes and observations: 1) Mediocrity: After 5 games, only 4 teams have 1 loss or fewer (pretty sure this is a modern era record). 2) Inconsistency: Underdogs are winning even more frequently than usual 60%+. 3) Is there a squad we can identify as a super team? Many of you probably are thinking: Chiefs then maybe Fal...

 

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at The Clemson Tigers Free Picks

Most analysts think that Wake Forest will cover this weekend for a few reasons. 1) They expect a bounce-back game after their first loss 2) The Deacons have lots of returning starters facing a young team without Deshaun Watson. 3) Their QB, John Wolford, has been effective both passing and running. The point spread is large, but here's what I see: 1) Teams...

 

The New England Patriots at The Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Here's a stat that some bloggers and analysts are throwing around. 2001 Pats started 1-3 won their 5th game of the season Super Bowl 2003 Pats started 2-2 won their 5th game of the season Super Bowl 2005 Pats started 2-2 won their 5th game of the season playoff team 2012 Pats started 2-2 won their 5th game of the season playoff team 2014 Pats started 2-2 won...

 

Some Handicapping Leverage for Mid-Season

For The NFL: The Bye Week: Before the bye : Going back to 2004, teams prior to their bye week, cover at a surprisingly high rate. Example: In 2016 there were 19 wins against 10 defeats. Three of those losses were by ½ point! (Note: 3 games were not included....

 

Chris Sale Takes Mound for Red Sox in Game 1

by Bovada - 10/3/2017 6:56 PM

This Sunday, Manager John Farrell, announced that his Ace, Chris Sale, would start Game 1 on the road for the Boston Red Sox (+135) against the Houston Astros. The MLB leader in strikeouts (308) will make his first postseason appearance on Thursday (4:08 PM ET on FOX). Although Houston (-165) hasn't announced its starter yet, rest assured that we'll see either fellow lefty Dal...

 

MLB Odds: Twins-Yankees in AL Wild Card Game

by Bovada - 10/2/2017 5:06 PM

The New York Yankees (91-71, -1.00 betting units) aren't your garden-variety Wild Card team. The Yankees are one of the very best teams in baseball, and they're healthy -235 favourites to beat the Minnesota Twins (85-77, +11.48 units) in Tuesday night's AL Wild Card Game. ESPN has the coverage starting at 8 PM ET. New York finished the regular season with a run differential of p...

 

The Georgia Bulldogs at The Tennessee Volunteers

Initially this looks like a trap game with the Volunteers playing at home and at least able to construct a "backdoor" cover. I don't think so. Things change, but right now I would rate Georgia as the 3rd best team in the country. They have as many projected NFL future players as any team. They're stocked at running back, quarterback and have l...

 

What the heck is happening with the NFL?

Network TV numbers for last season Monday Night Football down 24% Sunday Night Football down 19% Thursday Night Football down 18% Why are they decreasing? Some blame the decline on a compelling election year, that diluted the audience. I don't...

 

NFL Odds: Bears-Packers on Thursday Night Football

by Bovada - 9/27/2017 4:52 PM

The NFL's longest-standing rivalry continues Thursday night (8:25 PM ET, CBS) when the Chicago Bears meet the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field. These two teams have played each other 194 times since 1921, and it's all even at 94-94-6 heading into their latest showdown. However, the Packers have won six of the last seven games, and they're 7.5-point favorites at press time with a total of 45.5....

 

Must Bet Games for NFL Week 4

Each and every week, there are games that look attractive and then there are games that just jump off the board as ‘must-bet' affairs that no NFL betting enthusiast should miss out on wagering on. With the fourth week of NFL action quickly approaching, let's take a look at the trio of games that we believe fit that ‘must-bet' billing. So, if you're looking to get some betting action, be sur...

 
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