NBA free picks

NBA Free Pick – Celtics vs Warriors

03 March, 2024

The Warriors will journey to Boston to face the Celtics in a 2022 NBA Finals rematch on Sunday afternoon. Will the Warriors cause an upset or will the Celtics maintain their impressive offensive streak?

Warriors vs. Celtics Forecast Selection: Celtics Team Total Over 122.5

Keep an eye on the Warriors’ injury report as both Stephen Curry and Brandin Podziemski are uncertain. Curry is clearly the main force behind the Warriors’ attack, but you could strongly argue that Podziemski is their third most influential player this season, thus his absence would be very harmful.

However, this is a challenging situation for the Warriors because it’s their fourth game of a road trip and they’re up against a Celtics team that hasn’t traveled in 10 days. The Celtics have been consistently strong all season, but their recent performance is somewhat intimidating.

They will certainly be a challenging opponent for a Warriors defense that has shown significant improvement, yet still holds the 24th position in terms of allowing 3-point attempts. The Celtics are likely to shoot a lot of three-pointers successfully, and I anticipate them having a strong offensive performance, regardless of whether Curry and Podziemski are in the game.

Celtics Wagering Perspective

During their last five games, the Celtics have achieved an offensive rating of 140 or more in three games and have an overall offensive rating of 136.3! They are making 46% of their shots from 3-point range and have taken 42% of their shots from that distance during this period. They are nearly unstoppable when they shoot 40% (or more) from long range at that rate.

Conversely, the Warriors offense will have a challenging test. The Celtics are third in limiting attempts near the rim and are in the top five in terms of opponent 3-point percentage allowed.

Moreover, the Celtics have two top on-ball defenders, Derrick White and Jrue Holiday, who they may assign to guard Curry. Boston will challenge Curry, if he plays, to create a lot of distance. The Warriors will probably require significant help from Jonathan Kuminga and Klay Thompson if they hope to have a chance to contend.

Warriors at Celtics Predictions, Probabilities Sunday, March 3 3:30 p.m.
ABC

Consider betting on the Celtics Team Total Over 122.5 since the Warriors struggle to defend the 3-point line effectively against Boston’s offense. I believe this is the best strategy to gain attention on the Celtics at the moment, since we don’t know the situation with Curry, Podziemski, or Kristaps Porzingis. The Celtics’ offense is likely to have an advantage against the Warriors’ defense, no matter the outcome of the injury statuses. Play this until 124.

Choose: Celtics Team Total Over 122.5

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