Oklahoma City vs Portland Game 3 Free Pick

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by Sportsbook Advisor - 4/18/2019 12:55 PM Share
NBA Playoffs - Round 1 - Oklahoma City vs Portland - OKC is -7.5 and the total is 221.5

The Trailblazers have proven they are for real this post season by soundly defeating the Oklahoma City Thunder in their first two games against one another this post season. We picked Portland in the first matchup and got the win for our readers.

In this matchup we will apply the same logic and metrics. We will look at how OKC performs at home and how Portland performs away. - NBA playoff brackets

The key to betting this game is to figure out how Paul George will play. He has only had these two games since being back from a shoulder injury and he is a huge part of this OKC offense. Paul George guaranteed a better performance after this most recent loss. We don't know exactly how he will play. Thankfully, we can look at the numbers of the entire season's body of work.

Portland is 21-20 straight up and 20-20 ATS on the road. OKC is 27-14 at home and 21-20 ATS. These stats basically cancel one another out.

It is important to note that OKC is 10-6 when playing at home with two days of rest. They are also just 12-14 when playing against a team with a winning record, in the second half of the season.

The Thunder will be looking to set the record straight tonight. They can ball. The home crowd will be amped. But, I think laying 7.5 points may be a little steep for a team that just won two against you. Like I said, OKC is just 21-20 ATS at home. They don't exactly blow teams away there. The safe money in this one is to take the team that is currently on a winning streak getting points. Take Portland.

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