Indiana vs Iowa College Football Free Pick
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by Sportsbook Advisor - 10/9/2018 12:01 PM Share
On Saturday, at noon, a Big Ten showdown between Iowa and Indiana will occur. Surprisingly enough, this game really matters in shaping the conference and deciding who goes to what bowl game as both teams are good this year.

Iowa is 4-1 straight up and against the spread. Their only loss came to Wisconsin. They average 30 PPG on offense and allow 16 PPG.

Indiana is 4-2 straight up but only 2-4 ATS. They score 27 PPG and allow 25 PPG. Indiana is 1-2 ATS at home and Iowa is 1-0 away.

Both teams are very balanced on offense. Iowa passes for 243 yards per game and rushes for 155. Indiana passes for 247 and rushes for 163. Both teams are slightly in the negative territory regarding turnovers.

The spread on this one is currently Iowa -4.5
The total is currently 53 points
The public is heavy on Iowa early to the tune of 78% of all bets going on the Hawkeyes.

I think game is shaping up to be a clear ATP (against the public) play. Indiana has a good football team and should not be overlooked. Do I think Iowa is a better overall team? Yes. But getting the 4.5 points at home is a value play and ATP plays a factor here as well. I am taking Indiana in this game to cover the spread.

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