Pitt vs Louisville Free College Football Pick

Pitt vs Louisville Free College Football Pick

13 October, 2023

The Louisville Cardinals are unbeaten thus far in 2018. The Cardinals defeated the Notre Dame Fighting Irish in their most recent game by a score of 33-20. For the Cardinals’ running offense, Jawhar Jordan had 21 carries for 143 yards at an average of 6.8 yards per carry. Jack Plummer completed 17 of 24 passes for 145 yards and one touchdown. He finished the game without making a pick and had a quarterback rating of 135.3. The Cardinals struggled to stop the run, giving up 44 yards on 28 tries, or 1.6 yards per rush allowed. With a completion percentage of 57.9%, Louisville allowed 22 pass completions on 38 attempts for a total of 254 yards. They totaled 64 plays throughout the game, giving them 330 yards. The Louisville Cardinals carried the ball 40 times for a total of 185 yards, averaging 4.6 yards per carry.

The overall number of touchdowns scored by Louisville is 13 through the air and 14 through the ground. They have mishandled the ball eight times. Louisville has 127 first downs and 40 penalties totaling 319 yards have been called. They maintain a collective running average of 192.3 yards, which places them 30th in Division 1. The Louisville Cardinals have an average of 36.3 points per game when it comes to scoring in the end zone.

The Cardinals are rated 81st in college football when it comes to passing yards allowed with 1,345 allowed. They allow a completion rate of 55.6% and give up 224.2 yards via the air per game. Overall, they have given up 322.8 yards per game, which places them 25th in Division 1. They have allowed 5 rushing scores and 9 passing touchdowns. On average, the opposition gains 98.7 yards on the ground every game and 3.2 yards per rush. Through 6 games this season, they have given up 592 rushing yards. With 17.7 points allowed per game, the Cardinals rank 22nd in college football in terms of opponent scoring.

The Panthers enter the field with a 1-4 record so far this year. The Panthers lost their final game against the Virginia Tech Hokies by a final score of 38-21. Phil Jurkovec, who finished the game with two touchdowns, completed 11 of 22 passes for 235 yards and a quarterback rating of 169.7. He threw no interceptions and had a 10.7 Y/A. For Pittsburgh, Daejon Reynolds carried the ball 1 times for 1 yards, averaging 1.0 yards per carry. Pittsburgh finished the game with 38 yards on 24 carries, or 1.6 yards per attempt. The Panthers ran 46 plays for an average of 5.9 yards per, for a total of 273 yards. The Panthers’ secondary allowed 228 yards on 12 of 19 attempts for a completion rate of 63.2%. 59 run attempts for 199 yards (3.4 yards per rush) were allowed by Pittsburgh.

More Pitt Stats

The Pittsburgh Panthers are 122nd in college football with an average of 308.2 yards per game. The Pittsburgh offense is rated 22nd in college football in terms of giving up free yards after accruing 314 yards in penalties on 41 infractions. They rush for an average of 115.6 yards per game and 578 yards overall this season. They have been successful in obtaining 87 first downs despite throwing 5 interceptions and giving up 3 fumbles. The Panthers average 23.4 points per game, which places them 100th in Division 1 in terms of scoring offense. The Panthers have thrown for a total of 963 passing yards during this season so far, restricting opponents to an average of 192.6 throwing yards per game, which ranks 106th in the country.

The Panthers are ranked 74th in college football for their 26.0 PPG in turnovers. This year, Pittsburgh has given up a total of 642 running yards (128.4 yards per game) as well as 7 ground-game touchdowns. They have given up 130 points so far this season. They rank 18th in Division 1 with 173.2 yards per game and 8 passing touchdowns allowed. The Panthers defense has participated in 314 plays, placing them 14th in the nation. For the year, they have recorded 3 fumbles and 1 interception.

Odds and Lines

According to our sportsbook odds, Louisville are currently 7.5 favorites.

The total is sitting at just 44.5 points

Trends and Picks

Pittsburgh is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Louisville
Pittsburgh is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Louisville
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Louisville

but

Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Louisville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road

The trends seem to lend themselves to taking Pitt +7.5 at home but they are pretty bad this year. Louisville is coming off a big win at home vs Notre Dame so this could possible be a let-down game. Still, its hard for us to back a team that is 1-4 vs a team that is 6-0. I say buy the point and take Louisville -6.5 points and let the chips fall where they may. This bet gives you the best chance to profit by a 60/40 advantage.