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Marlins vs Blue Jays Free MLB Pick for Monday

19 June, 2023

On Monday, the Miami Marlins (41-31) will play host to the Toronto Blue Jays (39-33) at loanDepot park. Miami opens at +120 on the betting line, while Toronto sits at -140. The odds are 8.5 to win. Jose Berrios and Edward Cabrera are the pitchers.

The Toronto Blue Jays rank 14th in MLB as a team with 4.5 runs scored per game. They have 323 runs scored and a.331 on-base percentage. The Blue Jays have hit 83 balls outside of the stadium and totaled 129 doubles as a club. In addition to 655 base hits this season, they have 306 RBIs, which puts their team batting average at.263. With a.420 slugging percentage, Toronto has been called for strikes 553 times while walking 234 times.

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They have a 3.00 K/BB ratio, and their pitching staff has a 1.26 collective WHIP. The Blue Jays’ pitchers have allowed 304 runs overall and 100 long balls, which ranks them 13th in MLB. Toronto has allowed 278 earned runs and 581 base hits (8.2 per nine innings). The Blue Jays’ staff has retired 677 batters and has a season ERA of 3.92, ranking them 11th in MLB. Their team FIP for the season is 4.38 and they have walked 226 opponents.

The Blue Jays’ relief pitchers have entered 71 save opportunities and have a 76.7% save rate. This season, the relief pitchers have had 110 baserunners inherited, and 20.9% of them have reached home plate. Blue Jays relief pitchers entered the game 77 times with runners on base and made 76 outings in high leverage circumstances. 236 relief pitchers have taken the mound for the Blue Jays this season. The relievers pitchers’ season total of 41 holds ranks 10th in MLB. Over the course of the season, they have made 23 saves and missed 7 of their 30 opportunities to win the game.

In their 5,748 innings played on the field, the Blue Jays have turned 69.6% of balls hit into play into outs, ranking them 11th in MLB. At this point in the season, the Toronto Blue Jays have recorded 1,916 putouts, 568 assists, and 38 errors. They now possess the 19th-best fielding percentage in the majors (.985) and have amassed 54 double plays.

During his pro baseball career, Berrios has pitched 1,108 innings and struck out 1,081 batters. His career WHIP is 1.247, and he has an earned run average of 4.16 (513 earned runs allowed). He has handed out 336 free passes and 1,047 base hits (8.5 hits per nine innings). With a 4.03 FIP and a 79-58 win-loss record throughout the course of his career, Berrios has faced 4,686 batters in the majors.

The Marlins rank 26th in the league with an average of 4.01 runs per game and a team SLG% of.395. They have scored 285 runs, 208 times they have been given a free base, and 106 doubles. Miami has contributed 268 RBIs and 68 HRs to the season. They have 610 hits and have been hit 585 times, ranking 20th in baseball. The Miami Marlins have a batting average of.256 and a team on-base percentage of.320 so far this season.

The Marlins’ combined WHIP and FIP for the season are 1.295 and 3.97, respectively. They have 663 strikeouts against 236 bases on balls for a K/BB ratio of 9.50. As a staff, they are currently ranked 13th in the league with 580 total hits allowed. They have allowed 75 home runs and 4.44 runs per 9 innings, which ranks them 15th in the league. Miami’s pitching staff has given up 311 runs while compiling an ERA of 4.17 (292 earned runs given up).

Out of their 115 inherited runners, Miami’s relievers have a 31.3% inherited score percentage. Their relievers have entered the field in high-stakes situations 92 times and with base runners 75 times. The Marlins now have 78 save opportunities, 46 holds, and 11 missed saves. They have sent 246 relievers onto the field this season and now hold the 11th-best save percentage in the league (65.6%). In 32 save opportunities, Miami’s bullpen relievers have taken the mound, and they’ve come away with 21 saves.

The Marlins’ defense efficiency over 5,676 innings on the field is 68.1%, which ranks 23rd in professional baseball. The Miami Marlins have 64 double plays and the 26th-best fielding percentage in the majors with.983. Over the course of the season, the Marlins have 627 assists, 44 errors, and 1,892 putouts.

In 165 innings of professional baseball, Cabrera has struck out 187 batters while surrendering 121 hits. Cabrera has a 4.15 ERA and has allowed 6.6 hits per nine innings in his career (11-12 record). He has a WHIP of 1.297, a FIP of 4.9, and has surrendered a total of 76 earned runs. He has faced 702 batters thus far in his MLB career and has a K/BB ratio of 2.01.

Update: Marlins Place Edward Cabrera On 15-Day Injured List

Pick: Take Toronto (-145) MLB Odds


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