07 February, 2023
So, the annual “game of all games” is here. Sunday evening, the AFC’s No. 1 seed, the Kansas City Chiefs, oppose the NFC top-seed Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl LVII at Glendale, AZ. Philly is a tepid one-point favorite (total of 51), according to Super Bowl odds .
The teams each averaged 28.7 points per game, leading the league.
While most people say two is better than one, it was a one-legged Patrick Mahomes who was pretty good in the AFC title game. He suffered a high ankle sprain against the Jacksonville Jaguars in the divisional round, then hobbled his way past the rival Cincinnati Bengals, 23-20, earning another trip to the Super Bowl. The two-week rest figures to pay dividends as this season’s presumptive MVP (league-best totals of 5,250 passing yards and 41 touchdowns) looks to win his second ring.
The duo of Mahomes and tight end Travis Kelce will be huge in this game, while coach Andy Reid tries to beat his former team and earn his second title. Reid was a 14-season coach in Philadelphia (1999-2012), now finishing his 10th season in Kansas City.
Throughout the regular and postseason, the Chiefs are a less-than-mediocre 7-11-1 against the spread (ATS). They were favored by wide margins in a lot of games, which isn’t the case here. In fact, getting this team as an underdog (albeit a small one) is rare.
KC was 1-1 as a ‘dog this season.
It is very fitting the Philadelphia Eagles are playing in the Super Bowl. They were the best team in the NFC, the last team in the league to lose during the regular season, that after starting at 8-0. They were 12-1 with Jalen Hurts as the quarterback, arguably the best-balanced team in the NFL.
Hurts had a breakout season in 2022 (3,701 passing yards, 22 touchdowns, six interceptions, 760 rushing yards, 13 touchdowns). It’s not surprising opponents find Hurts a difficult foe .
Hurts (+120) and Mahomes (+130) are the overwhelming choices to be chosen best player in the game, as per Super Bowl MVP odds .
Philly’s been just average against the spread at 10-9. It did easily cover both playoff games (New York Giants and San Francisco 49ers), yet both were “under” results.
Whether you’re here to watch the commercials, the halftime with Rihanna, or maybe even the game, Super Bowl LVII between the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles figures
The Philadelphia Eagles are going to win this game, a second title in six Super Bowls (LII to LVII, inclusive).
to be worth the wait.
If you believe the Eagles will win, lay the point. With Hurts on the field, this team is dynamic. Of course, so are the Chiefs, trying to win their second title in games (LIV to LVII, inclusive). Is this the start of a dynasty with either franchise? We’re guessing it’s in South Philly.
While we’re at it, take under 51. Offenses are quite good, but defenses can make stops here. With neither quarterback 100% healthy (Mahomes ankle, Hurts shoulder), scoring may well be at a premium.
High- or low-scoring, it’s the Eagles.
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