Garnder Minshew

Indianapolis Colts vs Cleveland Browns Free Pick

21 October, 2023

At Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday, the Indianapolis Colts (3-3) will host the Cleveland Browns (3-2). This game’s opening line favors Indianapolis by two points. 39 is the set total.

The Cleveland Browns are currently 3-2 for the season entering this game. The Browns defeated the 49ers 19-17 in their most recent game, which they played on a football field. P.J. Walker completed 18 of his 34 passes for 192 yards. His quarterback rating was 45.2 and he had 2 interceptions by game’s end. Amari Cooper caught 4 passes for a total of 108 yards, averaging 27.0 yards per catch. For the Browns, Jerome Ford led all rushers with 17 attempts for 84 yards (4.9 yds per carry). They ran 70 plays for 334 yards during the game. The Cleveland Browns attempted to run the ball 34 times, gaining 160 yards total, or an average of 4.7 yards per attempt. The Browns struggled to stop the run, giving up 108 yards on 25 attempts, or 4.3 yards per attempt. Cleveland gave up 12 pass completions on 27 attempts for a completion percentage of 44.4% and a total of 107 yards.

The Cleveland Browns average 19.0 points per game in terms of scoring in the end zone. They are currently averaging 147.0 yards per carry as a team, which ranks them fourth in the league. This season, the Browns have accumulated 1,599 total yards. Cleveland’s offense has accumulated 45 first downs, and they have had 38 penalties for a total of 331 yards. They have lost the football 12 times (7 interceptions and 5 fumbles). Cleveland has amassed 4 passing touchdowns and 4 rushing touchdowns in terms of scoring touchdowns.

Browns Defensively

With 15.4 points allowed per game, the Browns’ team defense ranks fifth in the NFL. The opposition averages 79.0 yards on the ground per game and 3.5 yards per rushing attempt. Through 5 games, they’ve given up 395 rushing yards overall. The Browns are currently ranked first in the NFL for passing yardage allowed with 607 yards allowed. They have given up an average of 121.4 passing yards and a 51.9% completion rate each game. They are leading the league with 200.4 yards allowed per game during this season.

Colts Stats and Figures

The Colts enter the field with a 3-3 record so far this year. The Colts lost to the Jaguars by a final score of 37-20 the last time they played on a football field. Gardner Minshew II finished the contest with 329 yards on 33 of 55 passing attempts and a quarterback rating of 60.3. His Y/A was 6.0 yards and he threw 3 interceptions. For the Colts, passing game star Michael Pittman Jr. hauled in 9 passes for 109 yards (12.1 yards per catch). For Indianapolis, Zack Moss carried the ball seven times for 21 yards, averaging 3.0 yards per carry for the duration of the contest. The Colts ran 75 plays for an average yardage of 4.7 in the final 354 yards of the game. Indianapolis finished the game with 44 yards on 17 carries, averaging 2.6 yards per attempt. 29 rushing attempts for 85 yards were allowed by Indianapolis (2.9 yards per carry). The Colts’ pass defense gave up 148 yards on 20 out of 30 passes, allowing a 66.7% completion rate. QB Anthony Richardson is out for the year so Minshew will get he start.

The Indianapolis Colts average 345.3 yards per game, which places them tenth among all NFL teams. They have carried the ball for 700 yards this year, averaging 116.7 yards per game. They have been able to accumulate 70 first downs while throwing 4 interceptions and losing 4 fumbles. The Indianapolis offense is eighth in football in terms of giving up free yards after accruing 289 yards in penalties on 40 infractions. The Colts have amassed 1,372 passing yards this season, good for tenth-best in football, and average 228.7 throwing yards per game. The Colts currently rank 11th in the NFL in terms of scoring points, averaging 23.3 PPG.

They currently rank 23rd in the NFL with 243.7 yards and 7 passing touchdowns allowed per game. In all, Indianapolis has given up 681 rushing yards (113.5 yards per game) and 9 rushing touchdowns this season. They have surrendered 152 total points so far this season. For the season, they have accumulated 8 turnovers (4 fumbles and 4 interceptions). Having participated in 418 plays, the Colts defense is currently 32nd in football. The Colts are ranked 25th in the NFL for their 25.3 PPG defense.

TRENDS

Cleveland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Indianapolis
Indianapolis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Indianapolis is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home

Odds and Pick

The Browns are -3.5 points on our NFL point spread. The moneyline is the play however. Take Cleveland -170.

 

 

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