Houston vs West Virginia Football Free Pick

Houston vs West Virginia Football Free Pick

11 October, 2023

The Cougars enter the field with a 2-3 record so far this year. The Cougars lost to the Texas Tech Red Raiders 49-28 in their most recent matchup on the football field. Donovan Smith (4 touchdowns) finished with 335 yards on 29 of 40 passes for a passer rating of 175.9. His average yards per attempt was 8.4 and he didn’t throw any interceptions. Parker Jenkins ran the ball 13 times for 71 yards, averaging 5.5 yards per carry for Houston at the end of the game. Houston ultimately averaged 4.5 yards per carry for a total of 154 yards on 34 tries. The Cougars ran 75 plays for a total of 489 yards (6.5 yds per play) to end the game. With a completion percentage of 63.6%, the Cougars’ secondary allowed 161 yards on 14 of 22 attempts. 37 runs for 239 yards (6.5 yards per carry) were allowed by Houston.

The Houston Cougars maintain a game average of 414.0 yards, ranking 53rd nationally. The Houston offense is now ranked 83rd in Division 1 in terms of mistakes made after accruing 271 yards in penalties on 31 infractions. They have rushed for 665 yards overall this season, averaging 133.0 yards per carry. They have managed to accumulate 111 first downs while giving up 3 picks and 0 fumbles. The Cougars average 27.4 points per game, which places them 81st in Division 1 in terms of scoring ability. The Cougars are now ranked 26th in the country with 1,405 passing yards and an average of 281.0 passing yards per game over the course of the current season.

The Cougars are currently ranked 100th in D-1 due to their 29.8 points allowed per game. In total, Houston has allowed 818 running yards (163.6 yards per game) and 10 rushing touchdowns this season. They have given up 149 points overall. They rank 92nd in Division 1 due to their 242.2 yards/game and 8 passing touchdowns allowed. 339 plays have been completed by the Cougars defense, which places them 38th in Division 1. In the current season, their defense has recorded 3 fumbles and 6 interceptions.

As far as we can tell there is no matchup data between these two teams head to head. They never play one another. When handicapping this game we thought the spread should be something along the lines of WVU -3.5 points. Its actually sitting at WVU -2.5 at college football lines.

Trends

Houston Cougars

Houston is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Houston is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home

West Virginia Mountaineers

West Virginia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
West Virginia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

This is a clear play on WVU. If your sportsbook is offering them at -3 or -3.5 then buy it down to -2.5 points. We can see a FG or better win here. The Mountaineers should be victorious.