Caleb Williams

Colorado vs USC Week 5 Free Pick

26 September, 2023

The USC Trojans are unbeaten so far this year entering this contest. The Trojans defeated the Arizona State Sun Devils by a final score of 42-28 the last time they played on the field. The Trojans’ top rusher, Marshawn Lloyd, had 14 carries for 154 yards at an average of 11.0 yards. Caleb Williams completed 20 of his 31 passes for 322 yards and 3 touchdowns. He finished the game with no interceptions and a QB rating of 183.7. The Trojans lost the race for the line of scrimmage, giving up 90 yards on 32 tries for an average loss of 2.8 yards per rush. USC allowed 23 completions on 39 attempts, good for 263 yards overall and a 59.0% completion rate. They ran 60 plays for a total of 535 yards when the game was over. The USC Trojans carried the ball 29 times for a total of 213 yards, averaging 7.3 yards per attempt.

The USC Trojans average 55.0 points per game in terms of point production. Their collective ground average of 192.0 yards per game places them 35th in Division 1. For the year, the Trojans have accrued 2,277 total yards. USC has scored 11 touchdowns on the ground and 16 through the air in their attempt to reach the end zone. As a team, USC has accumulated 102 first downs and been assessed 37 penalties for 347 yards. They have mishandled the ball twice.

With 20.0 points allowed per game, the Trojans’ team defense is ranked 47th in the nation. This year, they are allowing an average of 4.0 yards per carry and 136.5 yards on the run per game. In 4 games, they’ve given up 546 yards to the running game overall. The Trojans rank 69th in Division 1 in terms of yards lost via the pass, having given up 912 yards. Through the air, they have given up 228.0 yards per game and a completion rate of 55.4%. They rank 72nd nationally in total yards allowed per game at 364.5. In addition to 4 ground touchdowns, they have also given up 6 touchdowns in the air.

The Buffaloes enter this contest with a 3-1 record for the season. The Oregon Ducks were the opponents in the Buffaloes’ most recent game, which ended in a 42-6 loss for them. For Colorado, Anthony Hankerson carried the ball five times for a total of 31 yards, averaging 6.2 yards for the entire game. Shedeur Sanders (1 touchdown) completed 23 of 33 passes for 159 yards for the game’s final score, and his quarterback rating was 120.2. He didn’t throw any interceptions, and his passing attempts averaged 4.8 yards. Colorado gave up 38 tries at rushing for 240 yards (6.3 yards per attempt). The Buffaloes’ pass defense allowed 282 yards on 30 of 35 attempts for a completion rate of 85.7%. On 58 plays for a total of 199 yards, the Buffaloes managed to win the game. Colorado gained 40 yards on 25 carries, averaging 1.6 yards per carry.

The Colorado Buffaloes’ average total defense ranks 57th in Division 1 with 409.0 yards per game. The Colorado offense is sixth in Division One in terms of giving up free yards after accruing 308 yards in penalties on 37 infractions. They have rushed for 223 yards this year, averaging 55.8 yards per carry. They have amassed 90 first downs despite losing 3 fumbles and losing 1 interception. The Buffaloes maintain an average of 32.5 points per game, which places them 51st in Division 1 in terms of scoring. The Buffaloes are now ranked 5th in the nation with a total of 1,413 yards gained through the air so far this season, in addition to holding an average of 353.3 passing yards per game.

The Buffaloes are 116th in the country with their 33.3 PPG turnover rate. Colorado has allowed a total of 826 running yards (206.5 yards per game) as well as 8 rushing touchdowns this season. They have given up 133 points in total. They are rank 112 in the nation with 269.3 yards per game and 10 passing touchdowns allowed. 302 plays have been completed by the Buffaloes defense, which is 122nd in Division 1. So far this season, they have accrued 4 fumbles and 7 interceptions.


With all of the stats and figures out of the way let’s look at this. The Buffs were playing really good football until they stepped into the Eugene meatgrinder. The stage was just a little too large for these fresh players. They have spent all week thinking about what they did wrong and you can bet that they will have addressed some of their issues in practice this week.

Free Pick

The Buffalos are going against their best opponent, possibly the best they will see all season. Look for the coaching staff to pull out every trick in the book to get their players pumped up. currently has Colorado +21.5 points. Our suggestion is that you bet that line.

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