Arizona vs Kansas State College Football Free Pick

Arizona vs Kansas State College Football Free Pick

13 September, 2024

After two weeks of play, Kansas State has been very good at wreaking havoc, almost taking the lead in the nation in tackles for loss.

In addition, the Wildcats have intercepted three passes and forced four fumbles, suggesting that Arizona’s offense needs to improve after a subpar offensive line performance against Northern Arizona.

The offensive line is in fantastic shape because center Baker is getting ready for Kansas State. Against Northern Arizona, the fifth-year senior was benched, which forced several offensive linemen to fill in at unfamiliar spots.

Although Arizona’s pass protection should improve, the more important concern is whether Fifita can capitalize on Kansas State’s ineffective safeties.

Klanderman uses zone for 60% of the coverage plays, running quarters and Cover 1 based on a small sample from this season and the entire 2023 season. Similar to the man coverage observed on 25% of snaps during the previous season, Fifita has shredded quarters and Cover 1 at a high success and EPA rate.

Like the previous season, Fifita’s effectiveness mostly stems from his attacks on the safety in between the hashes.

On Friday night, Kansas State’s ground game should be quite successful. Arizona’s defense drops to 77th place in line yards and 69th place in stuff rate.

This season, Kansas State is ranked fourth in offensive momentum killer, a sign that the Wildcats never give up on scoring opportunities.

Both teams have offensive advantages, especially considering that Arizona’s offensive line might be able to play at full strength.

Giddens and Johnson will be key players for Kansas State to extend drives and capitalize on scoring opportunities, while Fifita and McMillan will set up explosives in the pass game.

Arizona has the benefit of being 18th in pass EPA, but both teams rank in the top 20 for rush explosives.

A light breeze shouldn’t prevent kicking or passing, so aim for plenty of points between two offenses with distinct advantages.

Pick: Over 59 points