Free NCAA Basketball Pick for Tonight, Wednesday, January..

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by Mike Neri Sports - 1/28/2009 1:06 PM Share
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Tom Stryker's Free Pick for Wed January 28
Date/Time: 1/28/2009 6:30PM EST
Pick: OHIO STATE (-) over Michigan
Reason: #526 OHIO STATE (-) over Michigan at 6:30 PM EST

Off a blemish at Illinois and an immediate home loss to Michigan State, Ohio State will be champing at the bit to get back on the winning track Wednesday evening. Even though Michigan plays this game with revenge, fading OSU at Value City Arena is not going to happen. On this court, head coach Thad Matta's kids are a tremendous 40-16 SU in conference play.


The Maize and Blue have played extremely well in Ann Arbor. However, get the Wolverines on foreign courts and they can easily be defeated. For instance, as a guest coming off a straight up win, UM is a soft 16-33-1 ATS including 10-27 ATS in Big 10 play. With those two parameters combined and Michigan matched up against an opponent that owns a won/loss percentage less than .800, this team trend crashes to an ugly 6-22-1 ATS!


With Matta on the sidelines, State has cruised to a nearly perfect 8-1 SU record in this series. Equally impressive, as a conference home dog or favorite of -6 or less and matched up against a Big 10 foe that carries a won/loss percentage of .667 or better, the Buckeyes are a profitable 38-22 ATS. In this role sporting a won/loss percentage of .470 or better, OSU improves to a sizzling 30-14 ATS!


With losses in three of its last four games, Michigan hasn't been playing its best basketball of the season. It won't get any easier for the Wolverines here either. The Buckeyes are nearly invincible at VCA and they're hungry for a win. Take Ohio State. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.


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