NCAA Basketball Betting Trends

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by - 1/4/2011 1:10 PM Share

Before the Big Ten's 0-5 performance in bowl games on January 1, no BCS conference was more exciting for online sports betting fans rooting for college basketball than the Big East. With West Virginia (#22) and Connecticut (#25) both losing their bowl games, it is unlikely that any Big East school will be ranked in the final football poll. The basketball rankings are a completely different story.

As we enter the New Year and conference play begins in earnest, there are seven schools from the Big East in this week's AP Top 25 rankings. Four are in the top 8 and six are in the top 14 (SU, ATS):

4. Syracuse (15-0 SU, 5-8 ATS)

5. Pittsburgh (13-1, 4-5)

7. Villanova (12-1, 5-5)

8. Connecticut (11-1, 4-2)

13. Georgetown (12-3, 9-4)

14. Notre Dame (12-2, 6-4)

24. Cincinnati (14-0, 6-2)

Bettors can take a look at how these seven schools have fared ATS in the month of January over the past three college basketball seasons. The top performers have been Villanova (9-4 ATS, 69%) and Pittsburgh (10-6, 63%), while Notre Dame (5-11, 31%) and Georgetown (8-11, 42%) bring up the rear. Connecticut (11-8, 58%), Syracuse (10-8, 56%) and Cincinnati (12-12, 50%) are in the middle.

These NCAA betting trends have held true for the first few games of this month, with Georgetown dropping its first two ATS, including an outright loss to St. John's, and Notre Dame failing to beat the spread against Syracuse on New Year's Day. Villanova covered in its win over Rutgers on Sunday.

Connecticut travels to South Bend Tuesday night to take on Notre Dame. UConn has performed better on the road in January over the last three college basketball seasons, going 5-3 ATS (63%). The Huskies are getting points in this one after squeaking out a five-point overtime victory over 13-point underdog South Florida on New Year's Eve. Oddsmakers point out that this is a positive angle for UConn under Jim Calhoun:

Calhoun is 36-22 ATS (62.1%, +11.8 Units) after a win by 6 points or less as the coach of Connecticut. The average score was Connecticut 76.7, Opponent 66.8 - (Rating = 1*).

Also Tuesday night, Pittsburgh takes on Providence in the Ocean State. favors Pittsburgh according to the following betting trend:

Pittsburgh is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus good foul drawing teams - attempting >=25 free throws/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. The average score was Pittsburgh 74.6, Opponent 64.3 - (Rating = 3*).

Providence is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. The average score was Providence 83.3, Opponent 81.6 - (Rating = 3*).

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