Free NFL Pick, Jets at Bears

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by - 12/26/2010 12:12 PM Share

NEW YORK JETS (10-4) at CHICAGO BEARS (10-4)

Kickoff: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. EDT

Line: Chicago -1, Total: 36.5

YouWager.com bettors have their chance to bet on two 10-win teams who meet in Chicago in hopes of improving their playoff standing. Chicago clinched the NFC North with Monday's win over Minnesota and is gunning for a first-round bye. The New York Jets might just make it to the playoffs as a wild card team if they win one more game trailing New England by two games in the AFC East. But they might have to battle a tough Bears defense without quarterback Mark Sanchez who will be a game-time decision because of a shoulder injury. If he can't play, 40-year-old Mark Brunell would start under center for New York.

Jets' wide receiver Santonio Holmes has been limited in practice this week with a turf toe injury. Holmes (660 rec. yds, 4 TD) is expected to play. New York's secondary is also banged-up with FS Eric Smith (concussion) and SS Jim Leonhard (tibia) both out for Sunday's game.

The Jets will have to play without their best run blocker, OT Damien Woody, who is out with a knee injury. This will make it even harder for New York's sixth-best rushing attack, led by LaDainian Tomlinson and Shonn Greene, to gain yards against Chicago's run defense ranked third in the NFL (90 YPG). Brunell is a downgrade from Sanchez, but the second-year quarterback has not had a great season. Sanchez has the fifth-worst passer rating (74.6) among qualified quarterbacks. His completion percentage (54.0%) ranks third-to-last among these 32 quarterbacks and he has only thrown for 16 TD with 12 INT for the season.

The Chicago Bears are looking good on the injury front. Wide receiver Earl Bennett (ankle) is questionable, but there are no other significant injuries to the Bears' players. After getting blown out 36-7 at home against New England, the Chicago offense came back strong in Monday's 40-14 win in Minnesota. Quarterback Jay Cutler tossed three touchdowns against the Vikings, giving him 12 TD in his past seven games. Running back Matt Forte rushed for 92 yards on Monday to give him 502 total yards (395 rushing, 107 receiving) in his past five games. Despite the efforts of this duo, Chicago still ranks 25th in the NFL in rushing yards (99 YPG) and 26th in passing yards (193 YPG). The Jets defense is fourth-best in stopping the run (93 YPG) and ranks eighth in passing defense (206 YPG).

These teams have only met twice in the past 10 seasons, with Chicago winning both games. The Bears won 20-13 at home in 2002 and then shut out the Jets at the Meadowlands 10-0 in 2006. This NFL betting trend expects Chicago to win again on Sunday.

Play Against - Road teams (NY JETS) - off an upset win as an underdog, with a winning record playing another winning team in the second half of the season. (100-56 since 1983.) (64.1%, +38.4 units. Rating = 2*).

Online sport betting wise guys also predict the game will finish Over the Total:

Play Over - Any team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (CHICAGO, NY JETS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (295 to 335 YPG). (88-42 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.7%, +41.8 units. Rating = 3*).

NY JETS are 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) in road games this season. The average score was NY JETS 23.9, OPPONENT 22.7 - (Rating = 3*).


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