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by - 12/23/2010 5:52 PM Share

Qualcomm Stadium - San Diego, CA

Kickoff: Thursday, Dec. 23, 8:00 p.m. EDT

Line: San Diego State -6, Total: 60

Two college football teams playing in front of local fans meet for the Poinsettia Bowl tonight giving bettors another chance before Christmas. Although San Diego State Aztecs will be playing in its hometown, there is a huge naval base in the city that will give boisterous support for Navy. The Navy Midshipmen have had a huge season, going 9-3 with all three defeats coming by eight points or less. San Diego State has also had a banner year, winning eight games for the first time since 1996.

This is the eight consecutive bowl for Navy (3-4 SU), including its third Poinsettia Bowl, where the Middies are 1-1. Navy is led by its well-rounded quarterback Ricky Dobbs who enters this game just 140 rushing yards shy of his second straight 1,000 passing yard/1,000 rushing yard season. Dobbs has 67 total TD in 32 career games. Navy also has two great running backs in Alexander Teich (825 yds, 5 TD) and Gee Gee Greene (459 yds, 5 TD) who have helped give Navy the fifth-ranked rushing offense in the nation (289 YPG).

This is San Diego State's first bowl game since 1998. The team hasn't won a bowl game since the 1969 Pasadena Bowl, losing their past three bowls since that lone victory. SDSU is 11th in the nation in passing offense (297 YPG) with two receivers ranked in the nation's top 10 in yardage. Vincent Brown is seventh with 99 receiving YPG and DeMarco Sampson is ninth with 98 receiving YPG. Aztecs quarterback Ryan Lindley has 26 TD and 14 INT this college football season.

The Aztecs are 2-0 all-time against Navy. These college football teams last met in the 1997 season opener, when SDSU beat the Midshipmen, 45-31, in San Diego. The Aztecs also came away victorious in their first meeting in 1994, posting an easy 56-14 win over the Middies.

The Mountain West has a four-game winning streak in this Poinsettia Bowl series. The last three college football games have been decided by a combined 14 points, with the underdog winning ATS in all three. gives three more highly-rated reasons to pick underdog Navy to win and cover the big NCAA spread:

NAVY is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) against Mountain West conference opponents since 1992. The average score was NAVY 23.9, OPPONENT 24.2 - (Rating = 4*).

NAVY is 44-16 ATS (73.3%, +26.4 Units) as a road underdog since 1992. The average score was NAVY 22.5, OPPONENT 30.5 - (Rating = 3*).

Play Against - Any team (SAN DIEGO ST) - dominant team (outgain opp. by 1.2+ YPP) against a good team (outgain opp. by 0.6 to 1.2 YPP), after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games. (43-19 over the last 10 seasons.) (69.4%, +22.1 units. Rating = 2*).

Online sports betting experts also give a four-star reason why the game will go Over the Total:

Play Over - Any team against the total (SAN DIEGO ST) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (330 to 390 YPG), after gaining 525 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games. (25-3 over the last 10 seasons.) (89.3%, +21.7 units. Rating = 4*).

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