Utah State vs Kent State Quick Pick

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by Free Picks USA - 12/20/2019 12:39 PM Share
7-5 Utah State takes on 6-6 Kent State in the Miami Beach Bowl. The point spread moved from Utah State -9 to Utah State -7 points this week. The total is 69 points.

This is an interesting game to handicap. These are two teams from different worlds. There are no overlapping games from which to compare similar opponent.

Both teams have played juggernaut teams this years and gotten the pants beat off of them. Utah State lost 42-6 at LSU while Kent State lost to Wisconsin 48-0, yikes. Kent State also lost to Auburn 55-16. Utah State lost to BYU 42-14. Why are we even playing the Miami Beach Bowl again?

Anyway, Utah State scores 28 PPG and allows 29. Kent State allows 31 and scores only 27 PPG. All things being equal (which they almost basically are) I think Kent State is the play here. The spread should probably be more like -5 or -5.5 points. 7 points is a little much. Kent State is 8-4 ATS. They tend to cover. Take Kent State.

I also like the Under. 69 points is a lot of points for two teams that have been off for weeks. They will probably come out a little flat and defense will be the strong side of the ball. If you add up the total points these two teams allow per game you get 60 points. There is no reason to think they will score ten more points than what they average.

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