Eagles vs Seahawks Free Pick

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by Sportsbook Advisor - 1/3/2020 10:47 AM Share
This is the free pick write up for the Philadelphia Eagles vs the Seattle Seahawks being played on January 5, 2020 at 4:40 pm ET. The current point spread is Seattle -2 and the total is 45.

The line has been heavily swayed by public action. It was initially issued with Philadelphia being favored by 1 point. Still, at the time of me writing this article a full 68% of the betting action is on the Seahawks.

Let's get right down to it. Seattle isn't the heavily defensive team that they were in recent years. Their main weapon is QB Russel Wilson. He is a gamer and a winner. The running back situation is a mess. They brought in a guy off the street (Marshawn Lynch) because of all the injuries they suffered. Yes, he had a TD in his first game back but if you watched that game you could tell he wasn't a major threat (12 rushes for 34 yards and a TD).

The Seahawks scored roughly the same amount of points that they allowed this year (25). They are 7-8-1 ATS and an impressive 5-2-1 ATS away from home.

The Eagles barely won their division with a 9-7 SU record. They too have defensive troubles, allowing just over 22 PPG. But it is key to notice that their rush defense is outstanding. They allow just 90 rushing yards per game. They will be looking to completely shut down Seattle's rush.

This last fact is where I think the key to handicapping this game lays. If Seattle's rushing game is neutralized, then it will put the game squarely on Wilson, who is a great QB. But can he win by himself?

This may not be a popular pick but I am taking the Eagles +2 at home. The fact that Seattle will most likely be halved on offense, the fact that the game is in Philly and the fact that the public is lopsidedly betting the Seahawks has me picking the Eagles.

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