Texans vs. Browns Free Pick

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by Sportsbook Advisor - 11/28/2018 5:03 PM Share
The Houston Texans are playing host to the Cleveland Browns on Sunday. The Texans are favored by 6 points and the total is 48.

The Houston Texans are the one of the hottest teams in football having won 8 straight games after losing their first three. The Browns are having a bit of a streak of their own. They have won two straight, which isn't a common occurrence for the Browns.

Cleveland comes in with a 4-6-1 record and are 7-4 against the spread. They average 23 PPG on offense and allow 25 PPG. They have a -1.27 turnover ratio, a stat that, if fixed, will result in a team that wins more games than they lose. The Browns are pretty balanced on offense putting up 225 yards passing per game and 128 yards rushing.

Houston has a very balanced team as a whole and get the edge they need to win by outstanding play from Deshaun Watson. They allow 20 PPG and score 24. They take better care of the ball than Cleveland does. They pass for 236 and run for 136.

Trends
Cleveland is 1-24 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Houston
Cleveland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Houston
Cleveland is 1-4 SU & ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston

Bottom line is that you have the dominant home team that is playing really well taking on a team that is clawing its way up from the cellar. You have a rookie QB in Baker Mayfield that will be prone to make mistakes in a hostile environment. You have all the trends of Houston owning the Browns. I say lay the points and take the Texans. They should be able to win this and cover it as well.


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